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Florida's 16th Congressional District election, 2024 (August 20 Republican primary)

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2026
2022
Florida's 16th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 26, 2024
Primary: August 20, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Florida
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
Florida's 16th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th18th19th20th21st22nd23rd24th25th26th27th28th
Florida elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

Incumbent Vern Buchanan (R) defeated Eddie Speir (R) in the Republican primary for Florida's 16th Congressional District on August 20, 2024. Click here for detailed election results.

Buchanan was first elected to the U.S. House in 2006. He defeated his two most recent primary challengers, James Satcher in 2016 and Martin Hyde in 2022, by 61 and 72 percentage points, respectively.

The Tampa Bay Times called Speir's run "a challenge from the right."[1] Speir said, "[W]e have witnessed a shocking erosion of our individual rights and liberties. Where has Vern Buchanan been?" and called Buchanan "a statesman for the status quo."[1] Buchanan said, “We’ve built up a good reputation, a good name, and we’ve done a good job for a long time. I think you’ll see that at the ballot box.”[2] Buchanan campaign manager Max Goodman said, “Even the most rabid Republicans are turned off by Speir.”[2]

In the 118th Congress, Buchanan was Vice Chair of the House Ways and Means Committee and chaired its Health Subcommittee. Buchanan highlighted these committee positions in the campaign and said he would “continue to be a strong advocate for protecting and strengthening Medicare for both today’s seniors and future generations.”[3] His campaign site stated further: “Balancing the budget is an urgent priority as the U.S. national debt has reached $31 trillion and continues to grow.”[3]

Speir founded and sold a financial software company and also founded a private Christian school.[4] In January 2023, Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) appointed Speir to the New College of Florida Board of Trustees, but the Florida Senate did not confirm the appointment.[5] Speir called Buchanan out of touch with the district’s needs.[6] He said Buchanan had “consistently been one of the biggest spenders in Congress, outspending most Democrats to approve funding that is disconnected from his constituents' immediate needs and concerns.”[6]

As of August 20, 2024, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, Decision Desk HQ and The Hill, Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales, and Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball all rated the general election Solid/Safe Republican. The last Democrat to represent the district was Tim Mahoney (D) in 2006.

This page focuses on Florida's 16th Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Candidates and election results


Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 16

Incumbent Vern Buchanan defeated Eddie Speir in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 16 on August 20, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Vern Buchanan
Vern Buchanan
 
60.9
 
38,789
Image of Eddie Speir
Eddie Speir Candidate Connection
 
39.1
 
24,868

Total votes: 63,657
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Florida

Election information in Florida: Aug. 20, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: July 22, 2024
  • By mail: Received by July 22, 2024
  • Online: July 22, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Aug. 8, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Aug. 8, 2024
  • Online: Aug. 8, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Aug. 20, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Aug. 20, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

N/A

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Aug. 10, 2024 to Aug. 17, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 7:00 p.m. (EST)


Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Vern Buchanan

WebsiteFacebook

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: Yes

Political Office: 


Biography:  Buchanan served six years in the Air National Guard and graduated from Cleary University with a B.B.A. in 1975. He received his M.B.A. from the University of Detroit in 1986. Before entering elected office, Buchanan ran an automobile dealership.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Buchanan said, “America’s economic strength flows from its entrepreneurial spirit and pro-growth, free-market policies.” At the time of the election, he sat on the Joint Committee on Taxation, where he said he “played a key role in passage of a sweeping tax cut bill.”


Buchanan stated he had a “strong record of fighting for veterans and military families” and referenced his previous pieces of legislation that he said helped veterans retain their G.I. Bill credits, reduced training accidents, and provided veterans free official identification cards.


Buchanan said the Lugar Center and the Center for Effective Lawmaking ranked him as one of the most bipartisan and effective members of Congress. “Nothing is impossible when you work together,” Buchanan said. “People are tired of partisan gridlock — they want action and solutions to the challenges facing our country.”


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Florida District 16 in 2024.

Image of Eddie Speir

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I have been a business leader and entrepreneur for most of my life and have decided to take this experience to congress to serve my country and to defend the rights we as Americans hold dear."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


AMERICA FIRST I believe in American exceptionalism. America continues to lead the way for the rest of the world. Yet, our national sovereignty has come under attack. The entrenched establishment of career politicians have exposed our country to uncontrolled illegal immigration and foreign policies contrary to the well-being and prosperity of this nation. We must correct this course and put American priorities first and continue the trail-blazing path of freedom and prosperity.


DISMANTLE BUREAUCRATIC CANCER Cancer is when a cell abandons its purpose of serving the body and seeks its own survival. Federal bureaucracies have largely abandoned their purpose of serving “We the People” and have sought their own survival. This cancer is contagious and has grown into the full-blown weaponization of our government against the people. The cure is to starve the cancer via Congress’ power of the purse, to conduct Congressional investigations, and to recapture the legislative authority/power that had been haphazardly delegated to these bureaucracies in the first place. We need courageous members of Congress with principled convictions to restore a constitutionally limited government.


AMERICAN VALUES IN EDUCATION By funding students and not systems, Florida has begun the fight to protect children from the indoctrinating clutches of teachers’ unions. With diligence and determination, we can clear a path on a national level to win back our schools. Then, Florida will serve as a blueprint to complete the restoration of traditional education to the rest of the nation.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Florida District 16 in 2024.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

AMERICA FIRST I believe in American exceptionalism. America continues to lead the way for the rest of the world. Yet, our national sovereignty has come under attack. The entrenched establishment of career politicians have exposed our country to uncontrolled illegal immigration and foreign policies contrary to the well-being and prosperity of this nation. We must correct this course and put American priorities first and continue the trail-blazing path of freedom and prosperity.

DISMANTLE BUREAUCRATIC CANCER Cancer is when a cell abandons its purpose of serving the body and seeks its own survival. Federal bureaucracies have largely abandoned their purpose of serving “We the People” and have sought their own survival. This cancer is contagious and has grown into the full-blown weaponization of our government against the people. The cure is to starve the cancer via Congress’ power of the purse, to conduct Congressional investigations, and to recapture the legislative authority/power that had been haphazardly delegated to these bureaucracies in the first place. We need courageous members of Congress with principled convictions to restore a constitutionally limited government.

AMERICAN VALUES IN EDUCATION By funding students and not systems, Florida has begun the fight to protect children from the indoctrinating clutches of teachers’ unions. With diligence and determination, we can clear a path on a national level to win back our schools. Then, Florida will serve as a blueprint to complete the restoration of traditional education to the rest of the nation.
America First

Dismantling Bureaucratic Cancer

Stopping Human trafficking

American Values in Education

Energy Independence

Medical Freedom
More often than not, previous political experience can be detrimental to the integrity of our politicians. We have seen this time and time again. Politicians who entered office full of promise and zeal have become ideologically captured by the political forces working behind the scene. The mechanisms of this process have been on full display for those with eyes to see, and the American people have become disillusioned with such political machinations. It is evident, both to myself and those who seek the truth, that career politicians are some of the most corrupt and venal people imaginable. There is a desperate need in our government for politicians who are not compromised by their "experience" and for new, fresh candidates to step-up and fill these rolls, not for the perks and prestige of high office, but for the honor and satisfaction of faithfully acting as a true representative of the people.
There are many challenges that face this nation today. However, I believe that the woke left's idealogical capture of our public school systems have turned many of them into indoctrination camps that produce weak-minded students lacking important critical thinking skills, but instead subscribing to the most current and popular ideologies of the time. Therefore, I believe it is our duty to our nation and to our children to reverse this Orwellian system and to roll back the tide of political indoctrination in our schools and public institutions. With that in mind, it is imperative that immediate steps be taken in order to fight and win against this new form of tyranny.
I believe that people should be accountable to their constituents and act in their best interests. Public office should not be considered a lucrative opportunity at career advancement, but rather a public service. With this in mind, I am of the opinion that term limits are a necessity for holding any public office.
We need leaders and representatives with single-minded focus who refuse to compromise their morals and integrity, and who are not bought and paid for by lobbyists and special interest groups. Unfortunately, this has become a rarity in American politics, but we still have the capability to elect those to office who are not compromised and who will keep their election promises, hold their morals firm, and keep the will of the people at the forefront of policy and decision-making.


Campaign advertisements

Republican Party Vern Buchanan

Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Vern Buchanan while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.

Republican Party Eddie Speir

October 18, 2023

View more ads here:


Endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

Click the links below to see official endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites for any candidates that make that information available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[7] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[8] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.

The links below show polls for this race aggregated by FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, where available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation.

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[9]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[10][11][12]

Race ratings: Florida's 16th Congressional District election, 2024
Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2024October 29, 2024October 22, 2024October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Decision Desk HQ and The HillSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Election spending

Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Vern Buchanan Republican Party $1,824,539 $2,158,676 $1,049,213 As of December 31, 2024
Eddie Speir Republican Party $548,654 $542,647 $6,007 As of September 30, 2024

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[13][14][15]

If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.

By candidate By election

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2023_01_03_fl_congressional_district_016.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Florida.

Florida U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 28 28 1 101 56 9 21 53.6% 15 55.6%
2022 28 28 6 151 56 14 24 67.9% 17 73.9%
2020 27 27 2 114 54 10 19 53.7% 10 40.0%
2018 27 27 4 104 54 19 12 57.4% 11 47.8%
2016 27 27 7 100 54 11 13 44.4% 9 47.4%
2014 27 27 0 75 54 5 10 27.8% 8 29.6%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Florida in 2024. Information below was calculated on May 7, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

One hundred three candidates ran for Florida’s 28 U.S. House districts, including 42 Democrats and 61 Republicans. That’s 3.68 candidates per district, less than in the previous three election cycles. There were 5.43 candidates per district in 2022, 4.22 candidates per district in 2020, and 3.86 in 2018.

The 8th Congressional District was the only open district, meaning no incumbents filed to run. That’s the fewest open seats in Florida since 2014 when no seats were open. Incumbent Rep. Bill Posey (R-8th) did not run for re-election because he is retired from public office.

Seven candidates—incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz (D-23rd) and six Republicans—ran for the 23rd Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a seat in 2024.

Thirty primaries—nine Democratic and 21 Republican—were contested in 2024. Thirty-eight primaries were contested in 2022, 29 primaries were contested in 2020, and 31 primaries were contested in 2018.

Fifteen incumbents—two Democrats and 13 Republicans—were in contested primaries in Florida in 2024. That’s less than the 17 incumbents in contested primaries in 2022 but more than the 10 incumbents in contested primaries in 2020.

The 20th Congressional District is guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans will appear on the ballot. Democrats filed to run in every congressional district, meaning none are guaranteed to Republicans.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+7. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 7 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Florida's 16th the 177th most Republican district nationally.[16]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Florida's 16th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
45.1% 54.0%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[17] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
40.8 57.9 R+17.0

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Florida, 2020

Florida presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 17 Democratic wins
  • 14 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D D R D D D D D R R R D R R D R R R R D R R D D R R
See also: Party control of Florida state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Florida's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Florida
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 8 8
Republican 2 20 22
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 28 30

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Florida's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Florida, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Ron DeSantis
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Jeanette Nuñez
Secretary of State Republican Party Cord Byrd
Attorney General Republican Party Ashley B. Moody

State legislature

Florida State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 12
     Republican Party 28
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 40

Florida House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 36
     Republican Party 84
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 120

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Florida Party Control: 1992-2024
One year of a Democratic trifecta  •  Twenty-five years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R I R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

Election context

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Florida in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Florida, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Florida U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 5,181[18] $10,440.00 4/26/2024 Source
Florida U.S. House Unaffiliated 5,181[19] $6,960.00 4/26/2024 Source

District election history

2022

See also: Florida's 16th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 16

Incumbent Vern Buchanan defeated Jan Schneider and Ralph E. Hartman in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 16 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Vern Buchanan
Vern Buchanan (R)
 
62.1
 
189,762
Image of Jan Schneider
Jan Schneider (D)
 
37.8
 
115,575
Image of Ralph E. Hartman
Ralph E. Hartman (No Party Affiliation) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
21

Total votes: 305,358
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Jan Schneider advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 16.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 16

Incumbent Vern Buchanan defeated Martin Hyde in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 16 on August 23, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Vern Buchanan
Vern Buchanan
 
86.2
 
64,028
Image of Martin Hyde
Martin Hyde
 
13.8
 
10,219

Total votes: 74,247
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2020

See also: Florida's 16th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 16

Incumbent Vern Buchanan defeated Margaret Good in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 16 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Vern Buchanan
Vern Buchanan (R)
 
55.5
 
269,001
Image of Margaret Good
Margaret Good (D)
 
44.5
 
215,683

Total votes: 484,684
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Margaret Good advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 16.

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Vern Buchanan advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 16.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

See also: Florida's 16th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 16

Incumbent Vern Buchanan defeated David Shapiro in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 16 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Vern Buchanan
Vern Buchanan (R)
 
54.6
 
197,483
Image of David Shapiro
David Shapiro (D)
 
45.4
 
164,463

Total votes: 361,946
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 16

David Shapiro defeated Jan Schneider in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 16 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of David Shapiro
David Shapiro
 
54.7
 
34,807
Image of Jan Schneider
Jan Schneider
 
45.3
 
28,834

Total votes: 63,641
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 16

Incumbent Vern Buchanan advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 16 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Vern Buchanan
Vern Buchanan

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2016

See also: Florida's 16th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Vern Buchanan (R) defeated Jan Schneider (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Buchanan defeated James Satcher in the Republican primary, while Schneider defeated Brent King to win the Democratic nomination. The primary elections took place on August 30, 2016.[20][21]

U.S. House, Florida District 16 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngVern Buchanan Incumbent 59.8% 230,654
     Democratic Jan Schneider 40.2% 155,262
Total Votes 385,916
Source: Florida Division of Elections


U.S. House, Florida District 16 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngVern Buchanan Incumbent 80.6% 53,706
James Satcher 19.4% 12,900
Total Votes 66,606
Source: Florida Division of Elections
U.S. House, Florida District 16 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJan Schneider 76.2% 31,387
Brent King 23.8% 9,782
Total Votes 41,169
Source: Florida Division of Elections

2014

See also: Florida's 16th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 16th Congressional District of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Vern Buchanan (R) defeated Henry Lawrence (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Florida District 16 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngVern Buchanan Incumbent 61.5% 169,126
     Democratic Henry Lawrence 38.4% 105,483
     Write-in Joe Newman 0.1% 220
Total Votes 274,829
Source: Florida Division of Elections

2012

See also: Florida's 16th Congressional District elections, 2012

The 16th District of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent from the 13th District, Vern Buchanan won the election in the district.[22]

U.S. House, Florida District 16 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngVern Buchanan Incumbent 53.6% 187,147
     Democratic Keith Fitzgerald 46.4% 161,929
Total Votes 349,076
Source: Florida Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Earlier results


2024 battleground elections

See also: Battlegrounds

This was a battleground election. Other 2024 battleground elections included:

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. 1.0 1.1 Tampa Bay Times, "Ousted New College trustee to challenge U.S. Rep. Vern Buchanan," July 8, 2023
  2. 2.0 2.1 NOTUS, "This Republican Candidate Is Too Messy for Florida’s Right Wing," April 8, 2024
  3. 3.0 3.1 Buchanan 2024 campaign website, “Meet Vern,” accessed June 5, 2024
  4. Speir 2024 campaign website, "Meet Eddie," accessed June 5, 2024
  5. Florida Politics, "Senate refuses to confirm one of Gov. DeSantis' New College trustees," May 10, 2023
  6. 6.0 6.1 Facebook, "Speir on April 27, 2024," accessed June 5, 2024
  7. For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
  8. Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
  9. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  10. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  11. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  12. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  13. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
  14. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
  15. National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
  16. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  17. Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
  18. Average number of signatures required for all congressional districts. Petition signatures only required in lieu of a filing fee.
  19. Average number of signatures required for all congressional districts. Petition signatures only required in lieu of a filing fee.
  20. Florida Department of State, "Candidate Listing for 2016 General Election," accessed June 25, 2016
  21. Politico, " Florida House Races Results," August 30, 2016
  22. Politico, "2012 Election Map, Florida," November 6, 2012
  23. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  24. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  25. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  26. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  27. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  28. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Neal Dunn (R)
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
Anna Luna (R)
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
District 18
District 19
District 20
District 21
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
Republican Party (22)
Democratic Party (8)